Calm and cool conditions expected throughout the week, but... COLD might be back in 10 days.

LOCAL FORECAST/REGIONAL FORECAST

Beautiful day around Monterrey today with temperatures expected to reach 24°C and with clear skies. Calm weather is common around the city and in general over NE Mexico, a cold front will be arriving later tonight and a stronger one on tuesday making temperatures drop into the 5-8°C range as for lows having as highs 15-20°C throughout the week. Some moisture might be popping into the region by tuesday, so some scattered showers are plausible. This January has been running below normal, specially due to last week extreme cold that created ice and sleet conditions for most parts of the region above 4000 feet.

Courtesy of Accuweather.com

 

MID-LONG RANGE SPECIAL ANALYSIS

Since the last 4 days, the GFS has been consistently calling for a brutal period of cold weather throughout Monterrey and NE Mexico for the first week of February. The GFS is even calling for upto 10-18 OUTSTANDING INCHES OF SNOW!!!!!! Even though, the GFS is known for its wild contrast from one run to another, it has been really consistent in showing a period of extraordinary cold weather for the first week of February with temperatures running below zero for several days. Check out some of the runs of the GFS:

CHECK OUT THAT MASS OF ARCTIC AIR MOVING SOUTHWARD FROM NORTHERN US (AN ASTONISHING -26°C BELOW NORMAL) LOOP: GFS TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES

CHECK OUT THE 0°C LINE AND THE AMOUNT OF QPF, ALMOST .5 INCHES OF LIQUID!!!! AND PREVIOUS HOURS SHOW EVEN MORE!

OVER HALF AN INCH OF PRECIPITATION AND TEMPS BELOW ZERO!!!!

 EVEN THOUGH THE FORECAST IS BEYOND 200 HOURS FROM NOW, THE CONSISTENCY OF THE LAST 3-4 DAYS MIGHT BE CLAIMING THAT SOMETHING SERIOUS IS GOING TO HAPPEN IN A MATTER OF DAYS. MORE ON IT LATER THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.

INTERNATIONAL UPDATE


**FREAKING COLD OVER NE US**

Temperatures are remarkably cold for the entire Northeastern United States. Expect temperatures to plummet below zero from Central Pennsylvania, Central New York and Northward tonight. RealFeel temperatures could get bitterly cold over the region with readings of upto -40°F!!!! A potentially dangerous storm is expected to arrive by tuesday-wednesday. Expect the heaviest snow to be due west of the big cities. Some mixture will be likely at coast with most of it rain, creating hazardous conditions by mid week. Precautions should be taken with a really rough weather coming ahead. For more: BONECHILLING-DANGEROUS-COLD - ACCUWEATHER.COM

Courtesy of Accuweather.com

**NO EXTREME COLD INSIGHT FOR THE UK/IRELAND**

After being a remarkable 7.5 Below normal for December, January is running at 2.2 above. JB claims that it doesn't mean a day or two of cold or snow can't show up. The core of the cold for the rest of the winter in Europe will now run for the south region and to the southeast of UK and Ireland. For more, look at Accuweather.com and http://markvoganweather.blogspot.com/ .

**DRY WEATHER FOR THE SUB-CONTINENT**

The entire Sub-Continent will have an absolute dry weather spell from 23rd. till the 27th.

No W.D. in the Northern regions, and the Easterly wave may initially precipitate rains in Sri Lanka, and maybe the South T.N. coast, but after the 28th. - Rajesh Kapadia

For more: Vagaries of the weather

Cheers.